Propagation through the coupled Earth system

This page treats each disturbance as a variable nested envelope, not a fixed number of nodes. Current measurements determine which interfaces are active. Every active interface receives the expansion, compression, transition, and field/material components on entry and expresses them again on exit after local amplification, cancellation, attenuation, or feedback.

This page operates standalone. A fresh compatible Earth UFR state may supersede the local result, but no other MEFI page needs to be open. K_r is compression and K_c is expansion everywhere.

How to read the sequence: each stage answers whether the required measured input for that step is present and changing. The highlighted stage is the furthest supported step—not proof that every downstream effect occurred. MEFI’s impact is to preserve the order, timing, and shared calculation so subject monitors can test their observations against the same event state.

What the propagation measurements mean

Stage is the furthest step supported by timestamped inputs. Progress is sequence position, not effect probability. Input score reports current feed coverage, freshness, and coherence; it is not a prediction hit rate. ΔQ is measured change, coherence is coupled-input agreement, Π = ΔQ·C is coupled modulation, and EUMI is the signed bounded local result. K_r is the compression coefficient; K_c is the expansion coefficient. Subject rows identify comparisons that can be made against recorded observations and do not claim causation.

Awaiting

Current stage

Progress

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Input coverage / coherence score

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Current ΔQ

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Coherence

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Π = ΔQ·C

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EUMI

Current accepted sequence

Propagation Timeline

Waiting for Earth UFR propagation stages.

↔ Scroll or swipe left and right to view every stage.

Variable layers within layers

Nested-Envelope Propagation Architecture

Waiting for current sensor measurements.

The egg is a form model, not a three-layer limit. A propagation path can cross as many nested boundaries as the measured structure supports. The same component family appears on the leading/entry side and the trailing/exit side; the difference between those paired readings is the calculated effect of that interface. Source, transfer, and response remain timing anchors only.

Component order is preserved at every active interface: expansion front → compression front → transition → field/material payload. Interface count is determined by current measurements, never fixed at three.

Initiation versus current

Propagation State Instrument Panel

At initiation

Current accepted state

Expected response interval will follow the Earth UFR timing payload.

Data-source health

Source Status

Causal downstream flow

Propagation Effects by Subject

Every subject retains the current Earth UFR sequence.

Regional development

World Propagation and Response Map

Waiting for shared response data.

↔ Scroll or swipe on compact screens. This is one fixed full-world extent; continents never repeat.

SeismicVolcanoAtmosphereStorm/auroraPrediction windowBase boundaries: Natural Earth 1:110m

Retained state history

Propagation-History Overlay

Display normalization is chart-only; stored values retain their native meaning.

Visible historyPrimary overlay

↔ On compact screens, scroll or swipe across the full chart.

Measured timing relationship

Forward Lag Analysis

A statistical lag is not evidence of causation.

MEFI driverResponse laneBin sizeMaximum forward lag

At least three aligned retained bins are required.

↔ On compact screens, scroll or swipe across the full chart.

Persistent archive

Propagation History

0 retained samples

↔ Scroll horizontally to view every recorded field.

UTC timestamp	Sequence	Stage	Progress	Confidence	ΔQ	Coherence	Π	EUMI	Seismic	Pressure	Kp	Aurora

Data exchange

Import and Export

Import Earth UFR or propagation JSON

No manual import performed.

Interpretation boundary

Methodology and Disclosure

What this monitor does

It records fresh Earth UFR propagation payloads when available. In standalone mode it directly ingests official NOAA SWPC measurements, evaluates the disclosed FMEFI = kc/r² − kr/[r²(1+r)] + ΔQ·fUFR MEFI relationship from those changing sensor lanes, advances the solar-event path, retains telemetry, aligns downstream measured responses by time, and calculates disclosed forward correlations. The interface identifies which source produced every state.

Known limitations

Browser storage is device-local. Remote feeds can be delayed. Regional markers summarize available shared-state coordinates and do not claim causation. Indicative transit timing is not a guaranteed CME-arrival prediction. Correlation values require enough retained bins and remain observational.

MEFI Propagation Monitor